Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Morecambe		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.38
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	6.26	4.75	1.43	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.71	4.64	1.42
	6.5	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (5.65)	4.69 ↑ (4.51)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
14.4%

Draw
19.7%

Rochdale
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.4%

20.5%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

19.7%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Morecambe - Rochdale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 5. Kacurri M. 28. Sutton E. 14. Sesay A. (C) 6. Francillette L. 36. Nolan J. 32. Thomas G. 8. Azeez M. 33. Raikhy A. 18. Tollitt B. 12. Aarons R.	25. Broome N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 37. Galvin R. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 17. Pritchard J. 35. Waller C. 21. McBride C. 40. Henderson I.
Substitutes
3. Conte R. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 17. Lewis P. 1. Mair A. (G) 11. Muskwe A. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M.	19. Burger J. 11. Mancini A. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 10. Rodney D. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Pritchard J. 🟨,
41', Pritchard J. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Broome N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pritchard J. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Nolan J. ⚽,
62', Henderson I. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
63', Raikhy A. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
71', Lewis P. 🟨,
71', McBride C. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
74', Aarons R. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
74', Sesay A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
78', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Gilmour H. ⚽,
85', Francillette L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.

Morecambe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Rochdale is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
21.12.25	Brackley Town - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Morecambe - Boston United	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Braintree Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Morecambe - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLT
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
19.12.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Leamington - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Rochdale - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.09.20	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Morecambe - Rochdale	0:1
English EFL Trophy
10.11.15	Rochdale - Morecambe	0:1
English League Two
15.02.14	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:1
16.11.13	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2
02.03.13	Morecambe - Rochdale	3:0
English FA Cup
13.11.12	Rochdale - Morecambe	0:1

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