Match Info

National League - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.75
	3.7	3.75	1.82
	3.75	3.75	1.86	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.75
	4	3.8	1.8
	4	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.81)	3.79 ↑ (3.69)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
24%

Draw
24.4%

Scunthorpe United
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.9%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Morecambe - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Scunthorpe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Scunthorpe (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 25%). Scunthorpe (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 19. Akindileni T. 8. Azeez M. 3. Conte R. 7. Edwards G. 6. Francillette L. 17. Lewis P. 36. Nolan J. 21. Nuttall J. 2. Payne L. 32. Thomas G.	38. Mahady R. (G) 6. Boyce A. (C) 33. Denton T. 17. Ewing O. 3. Horton B. 23. Hurst K. 10. Roberts C. 11. Rowley J. 21. Starbuck J. 25. Westbrooke Z. 9. Whitehall D.
Substitutes
1. Boney M. (G) . Campbell M. . McWilliams A. 11. Muskwe A. 14. Sesay A. 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.	44. Barrows R. 8. Beestin A. 4. Belehouan J. 5. Evans W. 7. Howe D. 12. Jones L. (G) 14. Ubaezuonu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Denton T. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Azeez M. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),
42', Azeez M. 🟨,
43', Rowley J. 🟨,
43', Edwards G. 🟨,
44', Whitehall D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽, Westbrooke Z. (A),
60', Boyce A. 🟨,
63', Westbrooke Z. 🟨,
63', Denton T. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
63', Hurst K. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
69', Edwards G. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
69', Nuttall J. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Rowley J. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
77', Conte R. 🟨,
83', Payne L. ↓, McWilliams A. ↑,
83', Whitehall D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
90+2', Starbuck J. ↓, Belehouan J. ↑,
90+2', Roberts C. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
90+6', Horton B. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Muskwe A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.

Morecambe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Scunthorpe is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Morecambe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Scunthorpe is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 24.08%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Morecambe	6:2 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Brackley Town - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWW
- Scunthorpe United
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Scunthorpe United - Clitheroe	3:1 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Woking - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	3:1
English League Two
13.04.21	Morecambe - Scunthorpe United	4:1
21.11.20	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	1:1
14.09.19	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	3:0
English EFL Trophy
06.12.16	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	2:1 penalties
English League Two
18.04.14	Morecambe - Scunthorpe United	1:1
21.12.13	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	2:0

Morecambe - Scunthorpe United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide