Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	DAZN


	York City		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.8
	1.82	3.8	3.7
	1.81	4.02	3.95
	1.57	4.23	4.91	Watch
	1.8	3.76	3.86
	1.58	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	3.97 ↓ (4.23)	4.16 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
54.1%

Draw
23.5%

Boreham Wood
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

York City - Boreham Wood Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Boreham Wood will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 3 - 60%). Boreham Wood (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. 6. Palmer A. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 23. Felix J. 12. Grey J. 22. Olley G. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O. (C)	22. Herrick F. (G) 2. Coxe C. 16. Reynolds C. (C) 5. Bush Ch. 12. Newton J. 6. O'Connell C. 19. White T. 7. Sousa E. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Batty D. 14. Brookes B. 5. Howe C. 7. Sinclair T. 9. Stones J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	11. Benton J. 17. Clayden C. 9. Dixon J. 14. Henry A. 3. Ilesanmi F. 18. Norris L. 20. Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Rush M. ⚽,
26', Sousa E. 🟨,
41', Palmer A. ↓, Howe C. ↑,
45+3', Reynolds C. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Newby A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Newton J. ↓, Ilesanmi F. ↑,
62', Sousa E. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Rush M. ⚽, Richardson L. (A),
67', Olley G. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
78', Boateng H. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
78', Felix J. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
78', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
86', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Norris L. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Fallowfield R. ⚽,
89', Kitching M. 🟨,
90+1', Brunt Z. ↓, Benton J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 0.

York is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boreham Wood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, York is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, York won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
18.10.25	York City - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Hartlepool United - York City	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	York City - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - York City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- Boreham Wood
English National League
18.10.25	Boreham Wood - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Eastbourne Borough - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Yeovil Town - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
30.09.25	Boreham Wood - Southend United	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Boreham Wood - Woking	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.01.24	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
09.09.23	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2
21.02.23	York City - Boreham Wood	1:1
08.11.22	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
18.02.17	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
13.08.16	York City - Boreham Wood	1:1

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