Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hamburger SV		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.62	4.34	5.67
	1.63	4.12	5.59	Watch
	1.62	4	4.8	Watch
	1.62	4.25	5.05	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	4 ↑ (3.7)	5.13 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
58.1%

Draw
23.5%

Kaiserslautern
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	33.3%	19%

Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 14. Reis L. (C) 23. Meffert J. 17. Karabec A. 16. Mebude A. 27. Selke D. 7. Dompe J.	1. Krahl J. (G) 33. Elvedi J. 31. Sirch L. 5. Bauer M. 32. Gyamerah J. 16. Breithaupt T. 13. Wekesser E. 7. Ritter M. (C) 26. Kaloc F. 41. Yokota D. 9. Ache R.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 30. Hefti S. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 12. Mickel T. (G) 6. Poreba L. 20. Richter M. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 4. Schonlau S. 49. Stange O.	48. Alidou F. 19. Hanslik D. 24. Heuer J. 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Opoku A. 11. Redondo K. 37. Robinson L. 25. Simoni S. (G) 8. Zimmer J.
Coaches
Fave L.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Yokota D. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
58', Mebude A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Reis L. (A),
67', Ache R. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
67', Kaloc F. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
70', Mebude A. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
77', Selke D. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
77', Reis L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Balde F. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
89', Dompe J. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
90', Sirch L. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
90', Karabec A. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
90+3', Redondo K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.

Hamburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaiserslautern is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Jatta B. (Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Muscle Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Sahiti E. (Red Card)

There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Klement P. (Knee Injury) Ronstadt F. (Injury) Zuck H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Balde F. (Muscle Injury) Soumahoro A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Hamburg to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Preußen Münster - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Hamburger SV - Hannover	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTWW
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.25	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Kaiserslautern - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern	2:4 ✺
18.01.25	Kaiserslautern - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:2
06.04.24	Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern	2:1
28.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	3:3
15.04.23	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:0
08.10.22	Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern	1:1
German Bundesliga
31.03.12	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	0:1

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