Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.1	3.7	Watch
	1.77	4	4.1
	1.78	3.9	3.95	Watch
	1.8	4	4.18
	1.82	3.88	4.09	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.8	4.07	3.98	Watch
	1.78	3.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.96 ↓ (3.98)	4.02 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
52.7%

Draw
23.8%

Elversberg
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.8%	3.4%	1.7%

Hamburger SV - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (55 of 58 users predict this - 94.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 17. Karabec A. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. (C) 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D. 7. Dompe J.	20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Baum E. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 33. Neubauer M. 25. Petkov L. 6. Fellhauer R. (C) 8. Sahin S. 30. Damar M. 24. Schnellbacher L. 10. Asllani F.
Substitutes
9. Glatzel R. 30. Hefti S. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 16. Mebude A. 12. Mickel T. (G) 6. Poreba L. 20. Richter M. 4. Schonlau S. 49. Stange O.	28. Boss T. (G) 7. Feil M. 27. Gerezgiher F. 3. Le Joncour F. 17. Schmahl F. 26. Sicker A. 23. Sickinger C. 21. Stock P. 29. Zimmerschied T.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Damar M. 🟨,
62', Karabec A. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
62', Damar M. ↓, Zimmerschied T. ↑,
69', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
69', Sahiti E. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
70', Reis L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
75', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
83', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
85', Sahin S. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
87', Petkov L. 🟨,
90+5', Baum E. 🟨,
90+7', Polzin M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).

Hamburg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Elversberg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Durholtz L. (Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWT
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Elversberg - Preußen Münster	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	4:2
25.02.24	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	1:0
16.09.23	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	2:1

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