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Current Win Probability
Boreham Wood 59.6%
Draw 21.5%
Harrogate Town 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
22.4%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
21.2%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Boreham Wood - Harrogate Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gunter L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Bainbridge O. 23. Booty R. 4. White T. (C) 11. Allarakhia T. 8. Brunt Z. 9. Cashman D. 27. Bird J.
34. Hutchinson L. (G) 6. Burrell W. (C) 16. Dreyer S. 4. Baptiste A. 24. Cass L. 15. Hobson B. 14. Williams M. 3. Bristow E. 23. Dolaghan B. 11. McGowan W. 17. Hmami J.
Substitutes
17. Golden T. 25. Kensdale O. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 7. Richardson L. 26. Stapelberg H. 34. Whitfield B. 14. Wilkinson C.
19. Craig M. 26. Horton G. 35. McGuckin C. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G) 21. Taylor E. 7. Thomson G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Hobson B. ⚽, Williams M. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Allarakhia T. ⚽,
32', McGowan W. 🟨,
35', O'Connell C. 🟨,
44', Baptiste A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Brunt Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Hmami J. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Bird J. ⚽, Bush Ch. (A),
62', Brunt Z. 🟨,
64', Hmami J. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
64', Burrell W. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
64', Dolaghan B. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
64', Cashman D. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Whitfield B. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
68', Booty R. 🟨,
71', Williams M. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
71', McGowan W. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
72', Allarakhia T. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
72', Clarke J. ↓, Wilkinson C. ↑,
79', Booty R. 🟥,
81', Clarke J. ↓, Golden T. ↑,
81', Brunt Z. ↓, Marshall-Miranda M. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ League Two and 5th in the Promotion ~ National League PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
Boreham Wood has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Harrogate has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Boreham Wood may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Boreham Wood for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Boreham Wood in today's match, at odds of 1.68.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Boreham Wood has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boreham Wood against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Boreham Wood
13
11
2
0
34:13
21
35
2
Harrogate
13
9
1
3
29:17
12
28
Last Results with these Odds
Boreham Wood - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.36%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.