Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartford Athletic		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	3	3.45	2.12
	2.7	3.57	2.29
	3.04	3.55	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.03	3.4	2.18	Watch
	3	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	3.43 (3.43)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
31.8%

Draw
26.7%

North Carolina
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Hartford Athletic - North Carolina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hartford (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartford (votes: 3 - 60%). North Carolina (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 15. Farrell J. 4. Scarlett J. 2. Anderson S. 6. Makangila B. 10. Careaga S. (C) 19. Samadia E. 81. Obalola A. 9. Dieng M. 94. Hairston M.	1. McGuire J. (G) 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 5. Craig P. (C) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 17. Martin C. 15. Maldonado M. 11. Burner P. 13. Perez L. 8. Pedro Becker 26. Luckhurst A.
Substitutes
7. Beckford D. 44. Dicarlo J. (G) 30. Diz A. 17. Jimenez J. 8. Moreira J. 11. Ngalina M. 28. Ribeiro K.	30. Avalos R. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 55. Hodge T. 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 44. Sommersall R.
Coaches
Burke B.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Burner P. 🟨,
33', Craig P. 🟨,
45+1', Dieng M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Beckford D. 🟨,
64', Farrell J. 🟨,
68', Farrell J. 🟨,
70', Dieng M. ↓, Ngalina M. ↑,
84', Martin C. 🟨,
87', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
90', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽,
90+6', Perez L. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
90+6', Burner P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
90+7', Hairston M. ↓, Diz A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Hartford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

North Carolina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Cup
31.05.25	Westchester SC - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
USL Championship
28.05.25	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	4:4 ✺
17.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Charleston Battery - Hartford Athletic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTTL
- North Carolina FC
USL Cup
31.05.25	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
16.05.25	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
09.05.25	North Carolina - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	North Carolina - Charlotte	1:4 ET ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.10.24	Hartford Athletic - North Carolina	4:3
29.03.24	North Carolina - Hartford Athletic	2:1
01.06.19	Hartford Athletic - North Carolina	1:1
27.04.19	North Carolina - Hartford Athletic	4:1

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