Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+, TUDN


	North Carolina		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.64	3.7	5
	1.62	3.78	5.46
	1.64	3.76	5.28	Watch
	1.61	3.53	6.04	Watch
	1.64	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)	5.36 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
57.3%

Draw
25.3%

Oakland Roots
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

North Carolina - Oakland Roots Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - North Carolina (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 50%). Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 55. Hodge T. 27. Washington B. 66. Sundstrom F. 14. Rafa Mentzingen 17. Martin C. 15. Maldonado M. 10. Servania J. 16. Da Costa R. 8. Pedro Becker 9. Anderson O.	1. McIntosh K. (G) 33. Greene K. 15. Hackshaw N. 3. Bravo J. 88. Alekseev I. 18. Byaruhanga B. 12. Gibson T. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P. 10. Armenakas P. 11. Sinisterra J.
Substitutes
11. Burner P. 5. Craig P. 20. Donovan C. 26. Luckhurst A. 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 13. Perez L. 44. Sommersall R.	25. Damm J. 45. Elmasnaouy A. 6. Gomez D. 22. Johnson E. 4. Margvelashvili G. 2. Njie B. 35. Spiegel R. (G)
Coaches
Bradford J.	Glinton G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Servania J. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
38', Martin C. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Maldonado M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', McIntosh K. ↓, Spiegel R. ↑,
46', Bravo J. ↓, Margvelashvili G. ↑,
46', Alekseev I. ↓, Damm J. ↑,
54', Washington B. 🟨,
57', Armenakas P. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Damm J. ⚽, Prentice W. (A),
70', Sinisterra J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
71', Pedro Becker ↓, Perez L. ↑,
72', Hodge T. ↓, Craig P. ↑,
72', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
72', Washington B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Perez L. ⚽, Anderson O. (A),
76', Gibson T. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Wilson P. ⚽,
83', Damm J. 🟨,
87', Servania J. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
90+2', Da Costa R. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Perez L. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, North Carolina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
09.05.25	North Carolina - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	North Carolina - Charlotte	1:4 ET ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.25	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Miami - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
10.05.25	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
27.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.09.24	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	5:0

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