Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartford Athletic		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.2
	2.19	3.35	3.41
	2.19	3.24	3.17	Watch
	2.11	3.26	3.35	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.21 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
42.9%

Draw
28.3%

Sacramento Republic
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 15. Farrell J. 4. Scarlett J. 22. Presthus T. (C) 2. Anderson S. 10. Careaga S. 91. Hairston M. 5. Njie B. 8. Moreira J. 71. Edwards K. 11. Ngalina M.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 17. Wanner D. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. 2. Gurr J. 19. Ross N. 20. Willey B. 22. Benitez M. 10. Parano C. 9. Herrera J. 24. Jamieson L.
Substitutes
92. Barry H. 33. Belluz J. 13. Berner J. (G) 44. Dicarlo J. (G) 17. Jimenez J. 6. Makangila B. 81. Obalola A. 16. Panayotou J.	15. Baker C. 90. Bennett K. 23. Edwards A. 96. Luis Felipe 99. Mazzola J. (G) 43. Portillo J. J. 3. Spaulding R.
Coaches
Burke B.	Collins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Anderson S. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
27', Ross N. 🟨,
34', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Gurr J. ⚽, Wanner D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Wanner D. ⚽, Parano C. (A),
57', Edwards K. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
58', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
69', Jamieson L. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
71', Moreira J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
71', Careaga S. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
76', Parano C. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
76', Wanner D. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
84', Edwards A. 🟨,
87', Siaha A. 🟨,
88', Obalola A. 🟨,
90+2', Ngalina M. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Barry H. (A),
90+5', Jimenez J. 🟨,
90+8', Edwards A. 🟥,

Preview

Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Hartford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sacramento Republic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.

Hartford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
07.10.25	Oakland Roots - Hartford Athletic	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
04.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
27.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWLW
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Cup
04.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
01.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
04.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	0:1
USL Championship
29.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	1:0
26.05.23	Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic	1:4

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