The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monterey Bay 25.9%
Draw 27.2%
Sacramento Republic 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
25.5%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25.4%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 22. Garcia J. 5. Gordon N. 25. Egwu K. 3. Ritchie S. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 17. Glasgow O. 88. Lletget S. (C) 15. Barajas F. 20. Paul I.
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 21. Leibold T. 27. Crisostomo D. 24. Casas J. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 16. Wolff T. 11. Ajago F.
Substitutes
1. Delgado F. (G) 47. Elliot Q. 32. Farnsworth Z. 16. Jacob Montes 27. Judson 11. Leggett W. 21. Otoya D.
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 26. Jennings C. 6. Kleemann F. 19. Midence A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R.
Coaches
Covelo A.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Glasgow O. ⚽, Barajas F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Ajago F. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
65', Leibold T. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
72', Barajas F. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
72', Wolff T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
72', Willey B. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
77', Garcia J. 🟨,
82', Ross N. ↓, Judson ↑,
82', Garcia J. ↓, Elliot Q. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Jennings C. ⚽,
85', Casas J. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
90+4', Gordon N. ↓, Farnsworth Z. ↑,
90+5', Nakamura R. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1.
Monterey Bay is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sacramento Republic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.