Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartford Athletic		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.20	5.00
	1.38	4.40	6.00
	1.48	4.84	5.98
	1.45	4.74	5.99	Watch
	1.46	4.70	5.70
	1.54	4.52	4.96	Watch
	1.46	4.40	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.54 ↑ (3.75)	5.58 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
63.1%

Draw
20.3%

Sporting Jacksonville
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Hartford Athletic - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (C) 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. 5. Njie B. 6. Makangila B. 2. Anderson S. 16. Coffey B. 7. Adedokun M. 19. Samadia E. 17. Anaku S. 9. Williams A.	1. McGuire J. (C) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. 27. Wilson D. 12. Rito E. 24. Roberts T. 6. Rossiter J. 2. Neville H. 11. Al Qaq A. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 14. Jean Mota
Substitutes
1. Carvalho E. (G) 25. Fischer B. 27. Gordon S. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 11. Ngalina M. 81. Obalola A. 47. Pearman O. 3. Real M. 29. Taofeek A.	42. Casas E. (G) 22. Gomez A. 8. Kuzain W. 9. Luckhurst A. 19. Pedder R. 10. Sadlier K. 44. Somersall R.
Coaches
Burke B.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Neville H. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Scarlett J. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Edwards R. 🟨,
58', Al Qaq A. 🟨,
64', Anaku S. ↓, Ngalina M. ↑,
72', Roberts T. ↓, Sadlier K. ↑,
77', Williams A. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
81', Jaaskelainen E. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
81', Rossiter J. ↓, Kuzain W. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Samadia E. ⚽, Ngalina M. (A),
86', Makangila B. ↓, Hadjipaschalis C. ↑,
90', Sadlier K. 🟨,

Preview

Hartford has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sporting Jax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hartford is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hartford will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
12.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
05.09.26	Detroit City - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Charleston Battery - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWTWW
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
12.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Lexington	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brooklyn - Sporting Jacksonville	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Sporting Jacksonville	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.03.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Hartford Athletic	0:3

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