Match Info

League Two - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barnet		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.75
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.88	3.55	3.95
	1.95	3.67	3.97
	1.88	3.71	3.73	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.92	3.52	3.77	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	3.85 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
49.5%

Draw
26.2%

Oldham Athletic
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Barnet - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 4. Collinge D. 22. Chinedu P. 25. Tavares N. 5. Senior A. 11. Kanu I. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 28. Ofoborh N. 15. Glover R. 7. Jaiyesimi D. 20. Tshimanga K.	1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 6. Monthe M. 5. Daniels D. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 26. Payne K. 15. Drummond K. 11. Stevens J. 14. Garner J.
Substitutes
27. Assombalonga B. 8. Browne R. 13. Evans O. (G) 12. Hawkins O. 30. Kizzi J. 19. Shelton M. 23. Smith K.	31. Donaghy T. (G) 9. Fondop-Talum M. 19. Hannant L. 21. Hawkes J. 17. Quigley J. 40. Simeu D. 16. Taylor K.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Mellon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Collinge D. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Pett T. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Glover R. ⚽,
42', Daniels D. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
60', Pett T. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
64', Tavares N. 🟥,
66', Hartigan A. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Stevens J. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
71', Slicker C. 🟨,
73', Chinedu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
81', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
83', Kanu I. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
89', Stevens J. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
89', Garner J. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
90+4', Smith K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.

Barnet has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oldham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Barnet is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Barnet: Kizzi J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27% Oldham: 2.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
17.01.26	Grimsby Town - Barnet	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Barnet - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
29.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Newport County - Barnet	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Barnet - Salford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTL
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
17.01.26	Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Walsall - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.09.25	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	1:1
English National League
01.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	0:3
09.11.24	Barnet - Oldham Athletic	0:0
23.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	2:0
22.11.23	Barnet - Oldham Athletic	1:4
28.02.23	Barnet - Oldham Athletic	1:3
12.11.22	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	0:2

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