Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Hartlepool United		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.5
	5	4.2	1.49
	5.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.93	4.55	1.51
	5.93	4.56	1.51
	5	4.4	1.44
	5.4	4.45	1.49
	5.2	4.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.25)	4.4 ↑ (3.87)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
16.9%

Draw
21.1%

Chesterfield
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.8%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.5%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Hartlepool United - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dixon J. (G) 34. Brennan C. 10. Cooke C. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 35. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 12. Grey J. 7. Hastie J. 19. Mattock J. 23. Onariase E. 6. Wallace K.	1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 17. Dobra A. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J. 22. Sheckleford R.
Substitutes
33. Hancox M. 13. Jameson P. (G) 26. Johnson Z. 24. Paterson B. 9. Umerah J.	18. Berry-McNally J. 16. Freckleton M. 9. Grigg W. 10. Jacobs M. 20. King J.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3.

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesterfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	City of Liverpool - Hartlepool United	1:5 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Hartlepool United - Bromley	1:4 ✺
21.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	York City - Hartlepool United	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- Chesterfield
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chesterfield - Southport	6:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Chesterfield - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
21.11.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.08.23	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	3:2
01.05.21	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	3:1
06.10.20	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:2
26.11.19	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:5
24.09.19	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	1:1
29.12.18	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:1
27.08.18	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	1:0

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