Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)


	Rochdale		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.81	3.37	2.56
	2.8	3.36	2.57
	2.6	3.25	2.38
	2.73	3.27	2.53
	2.6	3.25	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.83)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)	2.47 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
34.3%

Draw
28.1%

Kidderminster Harriers
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Rochdale - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kidderminster will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moulden L. (G) 23. Armstrong F. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 20. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 40. Henderson I. 3. John C. 13. Keohane J. 7. Sinclair T. 5. Taylor M.	21. Dibble C. (G) 23. Byrne S. (C) 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 11. Lambert J. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 2. Penny A. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C. 20. Robinson S.
Substitutes
17. Afuye M. 49. Burgess I. 43. Edwards C. 24. Ferguson K. 16. Oduroh K.	14. Brown Z. 26. Hesketh O. 18. Lissimore K. 27. Omotayo G. 5. Pearce K.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kidderminster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
01.01.24	Fylde - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Rochdale - Fylde	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Rochdale - York City	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.12.23	Rochdale - Gateshead	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTL
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
30.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Boreham Wood - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Southend United	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Maidenhead United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Stourbridge	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Rochdale	1:1

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