Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Woking		Notts County

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.8
	3.7	3.5	1.78
	3.95	3.5	1.82
	3.6	3.6	1.88
	3.99	3.91	1.85
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.88	3.76	1.83
	3.6	3.7	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
24.7%

Draw
25.4%

Notts County
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Woking's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Woking, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Woking - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Woking will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Woking won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Notts County will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Woking won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
04.10.22	Southend United - Woking	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Halifax Town - Woking	0:4 ✺
24.09.22	Woking - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Maidenhead United - Woking	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Woking - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWLW
- Notts County
English National League
04.10.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Notts County - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	York City - Notts County	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Notts County	3:1 ✺
13.09.22	Notts County - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.02.22	Woking - Notts County	0:2
02.10.21	Notts County - Woking	1:4
05.04.21	Woking - Notts County	2:4
05.12.20	Notts County - Woking	1:0
15.02.20	Notts County - Woking	1:1
29.10.19	Woking - Notts County	0:4

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