Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Hartley Wintney		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.65	3.5	2.26
	2.73	3.6	2.34
	2.69	3.48	2.3
	2.65	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.03)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.28 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
34.2%

Draw
25.9%

Hanwell Town
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanwell Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartley Wintney that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hanwell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartley Wintney - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Hartley Wintney is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hanwell Town is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartley Wintney could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hanwell Town have a series of guest games.

Hanwell Town will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
25.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Hendon	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Hartley Wintney - North Leigh	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.22	Salisbury - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Dunstable - Hanwell Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLW

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