The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mainz 70.5%
Draw 17.8%
Rosenborg 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
19.8%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.8%
19.3%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
16.7%
10%
Mainz - Rosenborg Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Mainz (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% โ 93.77%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Zentner R. (G) 21. da Costa D. 16. Bell S. 31. Kohr D. 19. Caci A. 6. Sano K. 10. Amiri N. (C) 2. Mwene P. 8. Nebel P. 44. Weiper N. 7. Lee Jae-Sung
1. Tangvik S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 38. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 8. Fossum I. 7. Nordli S. 39. Islamovic D. 9. Saeter O.
Substitutes
33. Batz D. (G) 37. Bobzien B. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 24. Kawasaki S. 5. Leitsch M. 15. Maloney L. 9. Nordin A. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N. 30. Widmer S.
35. Ceide E. K. 56. Holmen I. 18. Holm N. 23. Jenssen U. 15. Mortensen J. 4. Racic L. 2. Reitan E. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 24. Sorum H. (G) 50. Volden H. 5. Zeidan M.
Coaches
Henriksen B.
Johansson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Bell S. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽, Caci A. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Weiper N. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fossum I. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
54', Vaananen S. 🟨,
58', 4 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽,
61', Saeter O. ↓, Ceide E. K. ↑,
71', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
71', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
73', Nebel P. 🟨,
80', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
90', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
90', Amiri N. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
In recent matches, Mainz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rosenborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mainz is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.