Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	4	3.6	1.83
	3.86	4.07	1.82
	3.86	4.07	1.79
	3.9	3.73	1.8
	3.8	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.33)	3.79 ↑ (3.51)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
24.2%

Draw
24.4%

Braintree Town
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braintree Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Coulthirst S. (Pen),
65', 1 - 1, McCarthy J. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Coulthirst S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havant won 3.

Havant is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Havant won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
10.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5 ✺
23.03.24	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWLL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
09.04.24	Braintree Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Weston-super-Mare - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1
07.01.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	3:1
13.08.22	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
09.04.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	4:0
20.11.21	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	1:0
English National League South
21.12.19	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	3:3

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