Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 44

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.7	3.25	2.5
	2.91	3.15	2.52
	2.91	3.08	2.52
	2.79	3.2	2.42
	2.75	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.89)	3.16 ↓ (3.38)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
33.1%

Draw
29.2%

Braintree Town
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Blackwell T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Weston-super-Mare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weston-super-Mare could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
01.04.24	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Taunton Town	4:0 ✺
26.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
01.04.24	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.10.23	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
27.03.18	Weston-super-Mare - Braintree Town	1:2
18.11.17	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1

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