Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 33

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.23	3.5	3.08
	2.23	3.43	3.08
	2.38	3.4	2.62
	2.17	3.49	2.99
	2.08	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.7)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
42.2%

Draw
26.7%

Welling United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havant & Waterlooville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welling United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havant won 0.

Havant is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Welling is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Havant won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5 ✺
23.03.24	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLT
- Welling United
English National League South
06.04.24	Welling United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Chippenham Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
19.03.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.08.23	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2
29.04.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United	0:3
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2
English National League South
24.09.22	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
23.04.22	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
14.08.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United	3:0
03.08.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United	1:1

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