The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 72.9%
Draw 17.1%
Holywell Town 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
23.1%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
21.7%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haverfordwest County's performance.
Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holywell Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haverfordwest County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holywell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Haverfordwest County - Holywell Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 19. Hackett J. 10. Hawkins D. 4. Kenniford K. 15. Owen J. 2. Rees D. 16. Twose C. 25. Walker J. 18. Walters G.
1. Swindell A. (G) 7. Bibby T. 9. Davies O. 8. Dogan T. 34. Edwards R. (C) 18. Hughes C. 16. McGiveron D. 28. Morris H. 19. Sconce J. 12. Tierney J. 27. Yonsian F.
Substitutes
23. Hughes W. 30. Myers L. (G) 14. Phillips B. 9. Rees L. 27. Thomas H. 7. Watts R. 22. Wilson J.
20. Baker S. 2. Bedford C. 31. Collins E. (G) 3. Davies M. 14. Murtas F. 17. Reed J. 21. Williams L.
Coaches
Pennock T.
Haseldin J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Sconce J. 🟨,
22', Bibby T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Ahmun B. ⚽,
29', McGiveron D. ↓, Bedford C. ↑,
37', Walters G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Walters G. ↓, Watts R. ↑,
67', Ahmun B. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
69', Owen J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
71', Davies O. ↓, Reed J. ↑,
88', Morris H. ↓, Murtas F. ↑,
88', Dogan T. ↓, Davies M. ↑,
90+1', Rees L. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
90+3', Watts R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 16th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
Haverfordwest has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Holywell Town is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Holywell Town may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Haverfordwest as the clear and undisputed favorite.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.