Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.72	3.9	4.6
	1.72	4.05	4.8
	1.54	4.15	5.2
	1.75	4.01	4.74	Watch
	1.67	4	4.4
	1.78	4	4.93
	1.73	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.46)	4.77 ↓ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
56%

Draw
24%

Celtic
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

23.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	4.3%	10.9%

Bologna - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Bologna (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Celtic (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Celtic (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (39 of 46 users predict this - 84.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.4% – 95.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Celtic (votes: 5 - 21.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 16. Casale N. 14. Heggem T. 33. Miranda J. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 11. Rowe J. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 51. Donovan C. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 27. Engels A. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 38. Maeda D. 23. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
70. Baroncioni D. 28. Cambiaghi N. 73. Castaldo F. 2. Holm E. 71. Lai L. 22. Lykogiannis C. 74. Negri S. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 41. Vitik M.	10. Balikwisha M. 28. Bernardo P. 31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 61. Isiguzo S. 24. Kenny J. 50. Mcardle S. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 8. Nygren B. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Hatate R. ⚽, Maeda D. (A),
27', Maeda D. 🟨,
31', Hatate R. 🟨,
34', Hatate R. 🟨,
39', O'Neill Ma. 🟨,
39', Miranda J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Trusty A. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tounekti S. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
56', Pobega T. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Dallinga T. ⚽, Odgaard J. (A),
72', 2 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽,
73', Dominguez B. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
73', Ferguson L. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
77', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
77', Donovan C. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
85', Casale N. ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
88', Engels A. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,

Preview

Bologna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celtic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Fauske Helland E. (Red Card) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Vitik M. (Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Araujo J. (Inactive) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Holm O. T. (Inactive) Iheanacho K. (Hamstring Injury) Inamura H. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury) Welsh S. (Inactive) Yamada S. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celtic: 1.06%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLL
- Celtic
Scottish Cup
18.01.26	Auchinleck Talbot - Celtic	0:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Falkirk - Celtic	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Celtic - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Motherwell - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

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