Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Pars TV Arabic
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Dunfermline Athletic		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.42
	6.5	4.65	1.41
	10.61	1.44	3.34	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	7.22	4.55	1.4
	6.5	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.26 ↑ (4.83)	4.06 ↓ (4.09)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
14.3%

Draw
25.6%

Hibernian
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.6%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehmet D. (G) 10. Todd M. 9. Rudden Z. 8. Gilmour C. (C) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 18. Abdulai N. 19. Thomas O. 3. Ngwenya K. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 47. Fraser R. 26. Tod A.	1. Sallinger R. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 33. Bushiri R. 21. Obita J. 27. Megwa K. 20. Mulligan J. 11. Newell J. 17. McGrath J. 23. Hoilett J. 18. Klidje T. 9. Bowie K.
Substitutes
14. Amade A. 4. Benedictus K. 12. Caceres J. 33. Cooper J. 5. Hamilton C. 11. Kearney S. 16. MacLeod R. 38. Morrison C. 40. Terrell B. (G)	22. Barlaser D. 10. Boyle M. 19. Cadden N. 14. Chaiwa M. 4. Hanley G. 15. Iredale J. 35. Molotnikov R. 13. Smith J. (G) 7. Youan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Mulligan J. ↓, Chaiwa M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Hoilett J. ↓, Cadden N. ↑,
61', Newell J. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
65', Rudden Z. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
70', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
71', Thomas O. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
76', Morrison C. 🟨,
76', Bowie K. ↓, Boyle M. ↑,
76', Klidje T. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Chaiwa M. (Own goal),
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Cadden N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0.

Recent form of Dunfermline has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hibernian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hibernian is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

Hibernian: 4.6% Dunfermline: 1.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	4:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
13.12.25	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTL
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kilmarnock - Hibernian	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Hibernian - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hibernian - Hearts	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dundee United - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.19	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:3
06.07.17	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	0:4
Scottish Football Championship
01.04.17	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:1
25.02.17	Hibernian - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2
22.10.16	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:3
13.08.16	Hibernian - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1
Club Friendly
15.07.14	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	0:0

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