Match Info

Premiership - Round 25

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)


	Hibernian		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.59	4.13	5.91
	1.59	4.09	5.53	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.58	3.98	5.45	Watch
	1.58	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	4.01 ↑ (3.9)	5.51 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hibernian
59.6%

Draw
23.4%

Dundee United
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	29.4%	5.9%

Hibernian - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sallinger R. (G) 42. Garananga M. 33. Bushiri R. 15. Iredale J. 25. Passlack F. 22. Barlaser D. 14. Chaiwa M. 21. Obita J. 10. Boyle M. (C) 44. Scarlett D. 7. Youan T.	1. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 37. Cleall-Harding S. 6. Graham R. (C) 23. Keresztes K. 22. Naamo D. 21. Stephenson L. 14. Sibbald C. 11. Ferry W. 9. Sapsford Z. 77. Moller N. 7. Trapanovski K.
Substitutes
54. Andrews K. 19. Cadden N. 32. Campbell J. 47. Elding O. 27. Megwa K. 35. Molotnikov R. 11. Newell J. 13. Smith J. (G) 77. Suto A.	19. Dolcek I. 10. Eskesen J. 3. Esselink B. 20. Farrugia N. 4. Iovu I. 25. Richards D. (G) 34. Stirton O. 2. Strain R. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Gray D.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Passlack F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Boyle M. ⚽, Scarlett D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Scarlett D. 🟨,
62', Moller N. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
63', Barlaser D. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
63', Scarlett D. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
66', Obita J. ↓, Cadden N. ↑,
73', Passlack F. ↓, Megwa K. ↑,
73', Boyle M. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Graham R. ⚽,
76', Sapsford Z. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Watters M. ⚽, Trapanovski K. (A),
86', Trapanovski K. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Graham R. (Own goal),
90+4', 3 - 2, Suto A. ⚽, Cadden N. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hibernian is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:14. (average 1.9:1.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hibernian: 0.6% Dundee Utd: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dundee Utd	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
10	Hibernian	8	2	1	5	8:12	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
01.02.26	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Falkirk - Hibernian	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kilmarnock - Hibernian	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTW
- Dundee United
Scottish Premier League
31.01.26	Dundee United - Hearts	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Dundee United - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Celtic - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	Dundee United - Dundee	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Livingston - Dundee United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
20.12.25	Dundee United - Hibernian	1:1
13.09.25	Hibernian - Dundee United	3:3
03.05.25	Hibernian - Dundee United	3:1
26.02.25	Dundee United - Hibernian	1:3
03.11.24	Hibernian - Dundee United	1:1
19.10.24	Dundee United - Hibernian	3:2
09.04.23	Dundee United - Hibernian	2:1

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