Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Hearts		PAOK

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	3.05	3.1	2.43
	3.05	3.3	2.38
	3.12	3.19	2.44
	3.05	3.34	2.31
	3.05	3.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	2.38 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
31.2%

Draw
29.1%

PAOK
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	24.2%	54.5%

Hearts - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). PAOK will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Clark Z. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 2. Kent F. 15. Rowles K. 3. Kingsley S. 77. Vargas K. 14. Devlin C. 18. McKay B. 19. Cochrane A. 9. Shankland L. (C) 10. Boyce L.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 16. Kedziora T. 15. Troost-Ekong W. 4. Koulierakis K. 55. Rafa 22. Schwab S. (C) 6. Tsingaras T. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
22. Denholm A. 17. Forrest A. 16. Halliday A. 51. Lowry A. 12. McGovern M. (G) 11. Oda Y. 29. Offiah O. 21. Sibbick T. 23. Stone H. (G) 30. Tagawa K. 25. Tait M. 54. Wilson J.	38. Giaxis K. 19. Lyratzis L. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 77. Narey K. 3. Nasberg I. 23. Sastre J. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 95. Tzimas S. 20. Vieirinha 29. Vrakas G. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
McAvoy F.	Lucescu R.

Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Hearts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish League Cup
20.08.23	Hearts - Partick Thistle	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Hearts - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Hearts - Kilmarnock	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Rosenborg - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
05.08.23	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
20.08.23	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	PAOK - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
10.08.23	Hajduk Split - PAOK	0:0 ✺
03.08.23	Beitar Jerusalem - PAOK	1:4 ✺
27.07.23	PAOK - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWT

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