Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Fucsman D. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland


	Hearts		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.1	3.45	3.35
	2.15	3.5	3.15
	2.17	3.46	3.24
	2.12	3.62	3.2
	2.13	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.23)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
44.2%

Draw
26.2%

Rosenborg
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	5%	25%

Hearts - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Clark Z. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 2. Kent F. 15. Rowles K. 3. Kingsley S. 11. Oda Y. 14. Devlin C. 22. Denholm A. 19. Cochrane A. 10. Boyce L. 9. Shankland L. (C)	1. Hansen A. (G) 25. Andersson A. 2. Reitan E. (C) 23. Jenssen U. 19. Pereira A. 21. Skarsem O. 8. Borkeeiet T. 41. Nypan S. 10. Holse C. 17. Thorvaldsson I. 14. Frederiksen E.
Substitutes
17. Forrest A. 7. Grant J. 16. Halliday A. 51. Lowry A. 36. McFarlane L. (G) 12. McGovern M. (G) 18. McKay B. 8. Nieuwenhof C. 21. Sibbick T. 30. Tagawa K. 25. Tait M.	32. Cornic L. 44. Holte M. 15. Rogers S. 16. Rosten H. 5. Skjelbred P. 20. Tagseth E. 24. Tangvik S. (G) 6. Vaananen S. 28. Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Coaches
McAvoy F.	Maalen S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Hearts is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosenborg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hearts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hearts will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hearts won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Hearts - Kilmarnock	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Rosenborg - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
05.08.23	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Hearts - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
09.07.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Hearts	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLT
- Rosenborg BK
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Rosenborg - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.08.23	Haugesund - Rosenborg	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Rosenborg - Crusaders	3:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.23	Rosenborg - Odd	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Crusaders - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Rosenborg - Hearts	2:1

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