Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Hebburn Town		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.35	3.05
	2.07	3.53	3.07
	2.09	3.72	3.12	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.06	3.38	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	3.09 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
44.1%

Draw
26.5%

Stockton Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hebburn Town - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hebburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hebburn has had a series of home games.

Hebburn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hebburn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hebburn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Hebburn Town - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Hebburn Town - Lancaster City	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hebburn Town - Prescot Cables	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Warrington Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWW
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Stockton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stockton Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	4:1
21.04.25	Hebburn Town - Stockton Town	2:0
26.12.24	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	1:1

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