Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Hyde United		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.35	2.38
	2.49	3.56	2.45
	2.53	3.68	2.48	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.5	3.74	2.5
	2.5	3.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hyde United
36.8%

Draw
25.7%

Stockton Town
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hyde United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Hyde United - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Walker T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Scott J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', 2 - 1, Roscoe ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 15th and 19th in the Relegation).

Hyde has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stockton Town is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Stockton Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Hyde has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hyde against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 3.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Stockton: 1.63% Hyde: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hyde	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Hyde United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Stockton Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hyde United
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Hyde United - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.09.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hyde United - Whitby Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Hyde United - Bury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.09.26	Stockton Town - Bamber Bridge	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Stockton Town - Redcar Athletic	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Avro - Stockton Town	5:3 ✺
25.08.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	3:0
16.08.25	Stockton Town - Hyde United	2:2
26.04.25	Stockton Town - Hyde United	1:0
24.08.24	Hyde United - Stockton Town	4:1

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