Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 38

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday


	Hednesford Town		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	3	3.25	2.02
	2.8	3.25	2.42
	2.77	3.28	2.38
	2.95	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.81)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
32%

Draw
27.9%

Needham Market
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hednesford Town - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Hednesford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Needham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.04.23	Hednesford Town - Kings Langley	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Hednesford Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	4:1 ✺
25.03.23	Barwell - Hednesford Town	5:1 ✺
18.03.23	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLW
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
15.04.23	Needham Market - Basford United	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Needham Market - Leiston	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Alvechurch - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
04.04.23	Needham Market - Barwell	1:2 ✺
28.03.23	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.22	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	1:0
08.01.22	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	3:3
14.08.21	Hednesford Town - Needham Market	2:1
01.02.20	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	4:3
31.08.19	Hednesford Town - Needham Market	0:1

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