Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 10

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Heidelberg United		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	5	7
	1.36	4.2	6.25
	1.37	5.78	6.27
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.34	5.1	6.95	Watch
	1.34	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.9 ↑ (4.2)	6.48 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg United
67.3%

Draw
18.6%

North Geelong Warriors
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

20.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Heidelberg United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Geelong has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Heidelberg United is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Heidelberg United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidelberg United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
15.04.23	Avondale - Heidelberg United	8:2 ✺
09.04.23	Heidelberg United - Altona Magic	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Heidelberg United - Port Melbourne Sharks	2:2 ✺
24.03.23	Heidelberg United - Bentleigh Greens	3:1 ✺
17.03.23	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTWW
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
15.04.23	North Geelong Warriors - Dandenong Thunder	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Melbourne Knights - North Geelong Warriors	3:2 ✺
01.04.23	North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully	0:7 ✺
25.03.23	Moreland City - North Geelong Warriors	4:1 ✺
18.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
01.07.17	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:4
01.04.17	Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors	8:0
09.08.15	Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors	3:3
02.05.15	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:0

Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide