Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 9

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.58
	4.9	3.8	1.5
	5.25	4.13	1.6
	4.95	4.2	1.55	Watch
	4.7	4.1	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.96)	4.07 ↑ (3.4)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
18.7%

Draw
22.5%

Dandenong Thunder
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.8%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

21.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

North Geelong Warriors - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: Dandenong Thunder will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

North Geelong has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dandenong Thunder is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dandenong Thunder is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams North Geelong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
10.04.23	Melbourne Knights - North Geelong Warriors	3:2 ✺
01.04.23	North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully	0:7 ✺
25.03.23	Moreland City - North Geelong Warriors	4:1 ✺
18.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	0:4 ✺
11.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Avondale	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
08.04.23	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	2:6 ✺
17.03.23	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
15.08.15	North Geelong Warriors - Dandenong Thunder	3:0
09.05.15	Dandenong Thunder - North Geelong Warriors	1:1

North Geelong Warriors - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide