Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 7

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.75	4.8	1.33
	6.1	4.7	1.32
	7.14	5.28	1.36
	7.6	4.95	1.33	Watch
	7.6	4.8	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↑ (3.34)	4.91 ↑ (3.4)	1.33 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
12.6%

Draw
18.7%

Green Gully
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.9%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

26%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Geelong Warriors's form might have worsened.

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Green Gully's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Green Gully, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully Predictions

Users Predictions: Green Gully will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: )).

North Geelong has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Green Gully is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Green Gully is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Green Gully to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams North Geelong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
25.03.23	Moreland City - North Geelong Warriors	4:1 ✺
18.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Hume City	0:4 ✺
11.03.23	North Geelong Warriors - Avondale	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Altona Magic - North Geelong Warriors	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	North Geelong Warriors - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
25.03.23	Avondale - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:2 ✺
03.03.23	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Green Gully - South Melbourne	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
22.07.17	North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully	1:5
22.04.17	Green Gully - North Geelong Warriors	3:1
13.06.15	North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully	1:0

North Geelong Warriors - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide