The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 21%
Draw 22.4%
Cambuur 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
23.1%
55.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
22.1%
58%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
13.3%
73.3%
Helmond Sport - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 27. Absalem A. 26. Makanza N. 47. Geerts D. 22. Dizdarevic A. 9. Bajrami L. 11. Daneels L.
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 8. Souren N. (C) 18. Rolke T. 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 11. Sjostrand O.
Substitutes
41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 44. Janssen J. 6. Ludwig M. 16. Lukowicz M. 2. Ogenia J. 5. Poll T. 48. van Bree R. 23. van Sleeuwen W. (G) 21. Wentges H. (G) 29. Zimuangana O.
17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 10. Diemers M. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 15. Kvam F. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Seegers J.
de Jong H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽,
11', Geerts D. 🟨,
42', Absalem A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Geerts D. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
55', Absalem A. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
55', Dekkers S. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
62', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
62', Balk R. ↓, Diemers M. ↑,
75', Sjostrand O. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
75', Galvez T. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
79', Makanza N. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
83', Vos D. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
89', Mulders R. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cambuur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cambuur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cambuur has had a series of home games.
In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: Diemers M.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:38. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Helmond
10
2
3
5
16:19
-3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Cambuur - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Bergsen M. (G) 
Van Den Eynden F. (C) 
Koglin B. 
Makanza N. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Bajrami L. 
Baouf I. 
Galvez T. 
Souren N. (C) 
Ferrah I. 
van der Sande J. 
Sjostrand O. 
Ingason H. 
Binder N. 
Kvam F. 
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