Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 28

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Helmond Sport		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.5	1.42	Watch
	6.4	4.7	1.44	Watch
	6.22	4.88	1.46
	6.07	4.75	1.45	Watch
	5.75	4.5	1.44
	6.13	4.75	1.43	Watch
	6.33	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (5.22)	4.65 ↓ (4.66)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
15.1%

Draw
20%

ADO Den Haag
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

20.1%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.5%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Den Haag will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 4. Koglin B. 27. Absalem A. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 47. Geerts D. 22. Dizdarevic A. 9. Bajrami L. 11. Daneels L.	1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 45. Tomas D. 4. Waem M. 15. Hokke M. 25. Kilo J. 27. Thomas N. 8. Vlak J. (C) 11. Rottier E. 9. Fiabema B. 19. Reischl L.
Substitutes
41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 36. Leipold A. 8. Llonch P. 16. Lukowicz M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 48. van Bree R. 23. van Sleeuwen W. (G) 28. Vos D. 21. Wentges H. (G) 29. Zimuangana O.	23. Bal J. 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 14. Jimenez M. 29. Kramer C. (G) 5. Kreekels M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 20. Maasland L. 31. Payne D. 21. Peupion C. 35. Puljhun S. 18. Sylla S.
Coaches
Seegers J.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Thomas N. ⚽, Rottier E. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Bajrami L. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
45+1', Daneels L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rottier E. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
46', Absalem A. 🟨,
47', 1 - 2, Waem M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
61', 1 - 3, Fiabema B. ⚽, Tomas D. (A),
62', Thomas N. ↓, Peupion C. ↑,
66', Geerts D. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
72', Hokke M. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
73', Daneels L. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
73', Vlak J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
73', Koglin B. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
77', Tomas D. 🟨,
80', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
86', Reischl L. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
90+1', Lukowicz M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Den Haag is the undeniable favorite.

There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Van Den Eynden F. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	Almere City - Helmond Sport	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	ADO Den Haag - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Roda - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
26.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:0
17.01.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	3:1
25.11.24	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	2:1
12.04.24	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	0:1
01.12.23	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	3:2
28.04.23	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:2
28.10.22	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	2:1

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