Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Helmond Sport		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.50	2.15
	2.70	3.50	2.23	Watch
	3.17	3.70	2.22
	2.65	3.49	2.5	Watch
	3.10	3.60	2.13
	3.08	3.48	2.18	Watch
	2.90	3.40	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.53)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
31.6%

Draw
26.4%

VVV-Venlo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Helmond Sport - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. (C) 43. Landheer T. 5. Poll T. 7. van der Sluijs J. 44. van der Velde X. 6. Ludwig M. 19. Ingason H. 11. Cicero L. 9. Bajrami L.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 21. Gorlich L. 4. Clancy E. 33. Blancquart G. 5. de Blok L. 14. Vullers R. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 7. Zuliani E. 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 10. Schalk A. (C)
Substitutes
22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 34. Essakkati T. 14. Golic L. 8. Llonch P. 35. Meissner N. 2. van Bree R. 21. Van der Heijden W. (G) 26. van Zutphen D.	31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 19. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 8. M'hand I. 34. Rais A. 17. Schmidt L. G. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 6. Verstraeten A.
Coaches
Frans F.	Dijkhuizen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Cicero L. ⚽,
36', Schalk A. ↓, Tsigkas M. ↑,
44', 2 - 0, Bajrami L. ⚽, Dekkers S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Clancy E. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
59', Vullers R. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
59', Blancquart G. ↓, M'hand I. ↑,
61', van der Velde X. 🟨,
67', Poll T. ↓, Golic L. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, de Blok L. (Penalty Awarded),
71', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Lenaerts M. ↑,
72', Ingason H. ↓, Ekoli K. ↑,
72', Bajrami L. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
73', Landheer T. 🟨,
75', Odriss M. ↓, Janssen T. ↑,
75', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Rais A. ↑,
79', Ludwig M. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Lenaerts M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
87', Essakkati T. 🟨,
88', Llonch P. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 2, Lenaerts M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
90+2', Lenaerts M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Venlo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:40. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 7.38%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	12	21
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Helmond Sport - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

VVV-Venlo - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.08.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Helmond Sport - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Helmond Sport - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LTLTW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.08.26	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
23.08.26	VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	VVV-Venlo - Eupen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	2:0
13.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	2:1
13.04.25	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	4:1
30.08.24	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	3:0
01.03.24	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	1:1
01.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	0:4
05.05.23	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	1:1

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