Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 30

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Helsingborg		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.4	Watch
	6.75	5	1.38
	8	5	1.37
	6.8	5	1.37
	8.03	5.08	1.41
	7.5	4.5	1.35	Watch
	7.5	5.15	1.36	Watch
	7	5.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (5.76)	4.99 ↑ (4.09)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
12.8%

Draw
18.9%

Hammarby
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.6%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Helsingborg - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hammarby will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Helsingborg is Relegated to Superettan

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 18, has currently - 17, was already of relegated.

Hammarby has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 55, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 17, very small importance 0, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 1.

Helsingborg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hammarby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Hammarby is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hammarby to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.10.22	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Helsingborg - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Norrköping - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	AIK - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.10.22	Hammarby - Kalmar	4:2 ✺
23.10.22	Elfsborg - Hammarby	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Hammarby - Sirius	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Mjällby - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
10.10.22	Hammarby - Varbergs BoIS	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.04.22	Hammarby - Helsingborg	2:1
13.09.20	Hammarby - Helsingborg	2:2
02.08.20	Helsingborg - Hammarby	1:1
11.08.19	Hammarby - Helsingborg	2:1
15.04.19	Helsingborg - Hammarby	2:1
30.09.16	Helsingborg - Hammarby	0:1
10.04.16	Hammarby - Helsingborg	5:1

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