Match Info

Superettan - Round 13

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.5
				Watch
	1.55	4.52	5.7
				Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.51	4.45	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	4.23 ↓ (4.47)	5.59 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
61.5%

Draw
21.9%

Umeå
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

16.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Umeå have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helsingborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

Helsingborg - Umeå Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Umeå (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Helsingborg (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Helsingborg (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Helsingborg (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Helsingborg will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Helsingborg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsingborg (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Umeå (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 9. Akimey A. 10. Svensson M. 29. Aga O.	31. Uppenberg M. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 4. Ohman L. 26. Ekman D. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 16. Bangala D. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Dejene M. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 9. Haga M. H.
Substitutes
22. Bjurstrom M. H. 4. Gudmann M. 18. Ljung C. 35. Persson L. 30. Radahl E. (G) 11. Rasmussen M. 23. Westerlund W.	14. Cederblad E. 1. Eriksson P. (G) 8. Hedstrom J. 24. Marklund L. 7. Vikgren L. 32. Voilas J. 12. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Aga O. ⚽, Akimey A. (A),
39', Haga M. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Akimey A. ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
55', Martiatu Nordeman A. ↓, Marklund L. ↑,
55', Bangala D. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
55', Dejene M. ↓, Vikgren L. ↑,
59', Uppenberg M. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Loeper W. (Pen),
65', 4 - 0, Akimey A. ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
68', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
79', Persson D. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
80', Aga O. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
80', Bengtsson S. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Ohman L. ⚽, Marklund L. (A),
87', Loeper W. ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
88', 5 - 1, Bjurstrom M. H. ⚽,
89', Akimey A. ↓, Persson L. ↑,
90+3', Orn B. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Helsingborg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Umeå is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Helsingborg is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
14.06.25	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
01.06.25	Helsingborg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
22.05.25	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Landskrona - Helsingborg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLT
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Umeå - Örgryte	3:3 ✺
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Umeå - Utsikten	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTLL

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