The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hemel Hempstead Town 37%
Draw 28.8%
Chesham United 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.4%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
27.6%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.
Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hemel Hempstead Town - Chesham United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Bennetts J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Bennetts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, Yearn K. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 3.
Hemel Hempstead is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chesham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Hemel Hempstead has had a series of away games.
Recently, Chesham has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Hemel Hempstead: 2.3% Chesham: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Hemel Hempstead
10
3
4
3
10:10
0
13
19
Chesham
10
3
1
6
16:19
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.29%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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