Match Info

National League South - Round 29

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Weston-super-Mare		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3
	2.4	3.02	3.03
	2.4	3.1	3.03	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3
	2.35	2.93	3.01
	2.2	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.15)	3.01 ↓ (3.32)	3.05 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
39.2%

Draw
30.6%

Hemel Hempstead Town
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Weston super Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 2.

Weston-super-Mare has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hemel Hempstead is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Weston-super-Mare could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.6:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	3	18
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14:17	-3	15

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 1.82% Hemel Hempstead: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
28.03.26	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWLW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
28.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Hornchurch - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Totton	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
01.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
11.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
17.02.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
28.08.23	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
22.04.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:2
15.09.18	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2

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