Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Salisbury		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.31	3.43	2.95
	2.3	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.84)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	2.87 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
40.2%

Draw
27.9%

St Albans City
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Albans City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salisbury - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Silva R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Smith B. ⚽,
60', Clarridge J. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

St Albans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Last Results with these Odds

St Albans City - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 23.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
21.01.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Sittingbourne - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Salisbury - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLTT
- St Albans City
English National League South
18.01.25	St Albans City - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	St Albans City - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.10.24	St Albans City - Salisbury	3:4

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