Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.56	4.22	5.3	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.65	4.49	5.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	4.08 ↑ (3.99)	5.17 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
59.3%

Draw
22.8%

Ilkeston
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Hereford - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ilkeston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
07.09.24	Spennymoor Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Hereford - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Southport - Hereford	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTW
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	5:1 ✺
26.08.24	Basford United - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ilkeston - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Ilkeston - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWT

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