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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 45.6%
Draw 26.8%
Augsburg 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
26.5%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
26.4%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.3%
25.7%
20%
Hertha Berlin - Augsburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Augsburg will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 37.8% – 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hertha has the most likely position - 17 (26.01%), has project points - 31, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Augsburg has the most likely position - 14 (16.69%), has project points - 38, has currently - 24, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, importance42, match rating51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 4.
Hertha is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Augsburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Hertha will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Serdar S.
(Groin Injury)
Uremovic F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Augsburg: Hahn A.
(Knee Injury)
Oxford R.
(Back Injury)
Rexhbecaj E.
(Calf Injury)
Strobl T.
(Knee Injury)
Uduokhai F.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 21 head-to-head matches Hertha won 9 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.
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