The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 25.1%
Draw 29.7%
Union Berlin 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.9%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hertha Berlin's form might have worsened.
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Berlin's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.8%
15.9%
74.4%
Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
82 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 8 - 9.8%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 61 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 65% โ 83.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Hertha has the most likely position - 17 (23.85%), has project points - 32, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union Berlin has the most likely position - 5 (15.1%), has project points - 55, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (32%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality63, importance57, match rating60. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 0.
Recent matches Hertha is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Union Berlin in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Union Berlin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Kenny J.
(Concussion)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Rogel A.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Thorsby M.
(Abdominal strain)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Hertha won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.
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