The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 71%
Draw 17.8%
Hertha Berlin 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.5%
17.4%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.7%
17.1%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.3%
4.4%
10.3%
Borussia Dortmund - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(58 of 68 users predict this - 85.29%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.87% – 93.71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (30.44%), has project points - 65, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (81%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Hertha has the most likely position - 17 (24.52%), has project points - 32, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, importance57, match rating62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 4.
Borussia D in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Hertha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Borussia D is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Duranville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kamara A.
(Knee Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Moukoko Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Wolf M.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Pekarik P.
(Hip Injury)
Our prediction for today's Borussia D to win the game is with odds 1.34.
Last 23 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 14 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.