Mainz - Augsburg predictions, live, scores & stats

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mewa Arena (Mainz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 4
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Mainz		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.55	3.7	Watch
	2	3.75	4.01
	1.93	3.66	3.92	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7
	1.98	3.77	3.82	Watch
	1.92	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.6 ↓ (3.62)	3.81 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
48.5%

Draw
26.4%

Augsburg
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	24%	4%

Mainz - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Augsburg will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batz D. (G) 4. Posch S. 16. Bell S. 31. Kohr D. 21. da Costa D. 6. Sano K. 30. Widmer S. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 10. Amiri N. 26. Silas 20. Tietz P.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. 40. Banks N. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 19. Fellhauer R. 36. Komur M. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 38. Gregoritsch M.
Substitutes
23. Becker S. 14. Boving W. 15. Maloney L. 2. Mwene P. 8. Nebel P. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 22. Veratschnig N. 44. Weiper N.	9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 17. Jakic K. 30. Kade A. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 3. Pedersen M. 21. Ribeiro R. 32. Rieder F. 16. Zesiger C.
Coaches
Fischer U.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
57', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
57', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
57', Wolf M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
60', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
63', Silas ↓, Becker S. ↑,
79', Kade A. 🟨,
80', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Amiri N. 🟨,
81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
81', Kohr D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
82', Widmer S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
82', Amiri N. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
88', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
90+2', Becker S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.

Mainz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Injury) Kawasaki S. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Injury) Sieb A. (Inactive) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Ogundu U. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mainz	7	3	1	3	16:13	3	10
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29% Mainz: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Mainz - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	RB Leipzig - Mainz	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Köln - Mainz	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Union Berlin - Mainz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLWT
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Augsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Augsburg - Mainz	1:4
08.02.25	Mainz - Augsburg	0:0
20.09.24	Augsburg - Mainz	2:3
17.02.24	Mainz - Augsburg	1:0
23.09.23	Augsburg - Mainz	2:1
11.02.23	Mainz - Augsburg	3:1
20.08.22	Augsburg - Mainz	1:2

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