Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3	Watch
	2.22	3.66	3.29
	2.14	3.65	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.68	3.23	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	3.15 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
43.9%

Draw
26.2%

Hertha Berlin
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elversberg's form might have worsened.

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elversberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	31.6%	15.8%

Elversberg - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Hertha will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hertha (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Hertha (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 2 - 25%). Hertha (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Ernst T. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 33. Karbownik M. 30. Seguin P. 41. Klemens P. 11. Reese F. 10. Cuisance M. 22. Winkler M. 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 16. Pfeiffer L. 24. Schnellbacher L. 4. Seifert L. 23. Sickinger C.	7. Brekalo J. 25. Brooks J. 31. Dardai M. 28. Dudziak J. 2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 8. Sessa K.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Mickelson N. 🟨,
16', Zeefuik D. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Klemens P. ⚽, Seguin P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gyamerah J. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Schuler L. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
64', Gechter L. 🟨,
66', Schmahl F. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
66', Rohr M. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
71', Schuler L. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
72', Klemens P. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
72', Reese F. 🟨,
74', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Leistner T. ⚽, Dudziak J. (A),
82', Winkler M. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
82', Cuisance M. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
90+1', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Adam R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Hertha has had a series of home games.

Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Gunther L. (Inactive) Pfeiffer L. (Health problems) Seifert L. (Health problems)

There will not play in Hertha: Demme D. (Inactive) Eichhorn K. (Inactive) Jensen L. (Injury) Kolbe N. (Injury) Kownacki D. (Red Card) Krattenmacher M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Zimmerschied T. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 32.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Nürnberg - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLTW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	3:0
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	0:2
02.03.25	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	4:0
29.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	1:4
05.05.24	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	4:2
03.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	5:1

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