Match Info

DFB Pokal - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hertha Berlin		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	2.98	3.35	2.42	Watch
	3.09	3.44	2.42
	3.05	3.01	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.16	3.51	2.42	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.31)	3.31 ↓ (3.39)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
31%

Draw
28.7%

Freiburg
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Hertha Berlin - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Freiburg (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 31. Dardai M. 2. Eitschberger J. 10. Cuisance M. 30. Seguin P. 33. Karbownik M. 22. Winkler M. 11. Reese F. (C) 9. Kownacki D.	21. Muller F. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
7. Brekalo J. 25. Brooks J. 28. Dudziak J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 5. Jensen L. 41. Klemens P. 18. Schuler L. 8. Sessa K.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 44. Manzambi J. 43. Ogbus B.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
70', Grifo V. 🟨,
78', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
78', Osterhage P. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
80', Kownacki D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
80', Winkler M. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
90+3', Leistner T. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
96', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
99', Leistner T. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
104', 1 - 1, Reese F. ⚽, Seguin P. (A),
105+2', Seguin P. 🟨,
113', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
116', Eitschberger J. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
116', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
119', Schuler L. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Reese F. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ginter M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Schuler L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Eggestein M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cuisance M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Manzambi J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Brekalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Holer L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Seguin P. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Klemens P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Hertha: Demme D. (Head Injury) Eichhorn K. (Ankle Injury) Krattenmacher M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Freiburg: 1.9% Hertha Berlin: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTTL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.04.23	Freiburg - Hertha Berlin	1:1
09.10.22	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	2:2
26.02.22	Freiburg - Hertha Berlin	3:0
02.10.21	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2
06.05.21	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	3:0
20.12.20	Freiburg - Hertha Berlin	4:1
16.06.20	Freiburg - Hertha Berlin	2:1

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