Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	05:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	15:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	14:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	15:30	Disney+
China	02:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	20:30	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
India	00:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	01:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	23:30	Medianet
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	02:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	23:30	Tapmad
Peru	13:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 3
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	21:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	21:30	Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	03:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:30	SCCN
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	01:30	TV 360
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.35	3.59	3.12
	1.17	5.28	55.15	Watch
				Watch
	2.4	3.62	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)	3.93 ↑ (3.68)	13.45 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
59.2%

Draw
31.6%

Union Berlin
9.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.3%	27.3%	20.5%

Werder Bremen - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 37.5% – 67.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Werder (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Union Berlin (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Werder (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Union Berlin (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 31. Coulibaly K. 32. Friedl M. (C) 14. Lynen S. 6. Stage J. 17. Grull M. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 44. Boniface V.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 7. Burke O. 10. Ansah I. 23. Ilic A.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 11. Njinmah J. 18. Puertas C. 4. Stark N. 9. Topp K.	30. Bogdanov D. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 27. Ljubicic M. 34. Nsoki S. 31. Raab M. (G) 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 21. Skarke T.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
29', Ilic A. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
61', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
70', Grull M. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Grull M. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
79', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
79', Leite D. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
85', Boniface V. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
85', Mbangula S. ↓, Puertas C. ↑,
90', Grull M. ↓, Stark N. ↑,
90', Sugawara Y. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
90+1', Topp K. 🟨,
90+2', Pieper A. 🟨,
90+3', Schmid R. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Werder will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt I. (Foot Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schafer A. (Knock)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
03.05.25	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	2:2
21.12.24	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	4:1
16.03.24	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	2:1
28.10.23	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	2:0
27.05.23	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:0
25.01.23	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:2
24.04.21	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	3:1

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