Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL NSW - Round 12

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Hills United		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.6
	3.4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.82	4.6	1.56
	4.82	4.61	1.56
	3.9	4.2	1.62
	4.77	4.29	1.57	Watch
	4	4.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.46)	4.24 ↑ (3.8)	1.63 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills United
21.5%

Draw
21.8%

St. George City
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.3%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

23.8%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hills United's form might have worsened.

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. George City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. George City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hills United - St. George City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 🟥,
35', 1 - 0, Muller N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).

Hills Brumbies is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St. George City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match St. George City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NPL NSW
20.04.24	St George Saints - Hills United	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	North West Sydney Spirit - Hills United	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sutherland Sharks - Hills United	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hills United - Manly United	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Hills United - Rockdale Ilinden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
20.04.24	St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - St. George City	6:1 ✺
06.04.24	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	St. George City - Blacktown City	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	North West Sydney Spirit - St. George City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Hills United - St. George City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide