Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 42

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.2
	2.78	3.54	2.33
	2.79	3.58	2.23
	2.75	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.3)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
33.6%

Draw
25.5%

Ilkeston
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

22.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hitchin Town's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hitchin Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hitchin Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 7).

Hitchin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hitchin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.23	Kings Langley - Hitchin Town	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Redditch United - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW
- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
15.04.23	Ilkeston - Nuneaton Town	2:3 ✺
10.04.23	Basford United - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	Alvechurch - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
27.03.23	Kings Langley - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	Ilkeston - Hitchin Town	3:1

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